BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ali Bagautinov vs.
Geane Herrera

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-3-0 Ali Bagautinov · UFC
1-3-0 Geane Herrera · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-3-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
41.2
AgeΔ 5 yrs
36.2
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'5"
65"
ReachΔ 1"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
116.5
Layoff (months)Δ 0.2 mo
116.3
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ali Bagautinov hunts takedowns — 2.51 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Ali Bagautinov owns the mat — in control 28% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Geane Herrera absorbs 5.07 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.24 Flyweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ali Bagautinov

Full career not yet synced for Ali Bagautinov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500

Geane Herrera

Full career not yet synced for Geane Herrera — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3232.85/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
821.51/min · norm 3.49
3513.09/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
2765.07/min · norm 3.24
42.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
31.2%norm 44.6%
52.4%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
52.9%norm 56.4%
20.26/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.28/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ali Bagautinov

Distance 70.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 12.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 16.7% (norm 7.3%)

Geane Herrera

Distance 86.7% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 6.8% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ali Bagautinov

Head 75.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 9.3%)

Geane Herrera

Head 93.5% (norm 75.9%) · Body 3.8% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 2.7% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Bagautinov L/AAccFlyweight med Herrera L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 166 / 537 30.9% 40.0% 58 / 228 25.4% 40.0%
In the clinch 64 / 97 66.0% 70.4% 7 / 17 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 93 / 127 73.2% 69.7% 17 / 18 too few to rate 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 182 / 573 31.8% 37.6% 69 / 246 28.0% 37.6%
To the body 104 / 135 77.0% 68.5% 8 / 10 too few to rate 68.5%
To the legs 37 / 53 69.8% 80.0% 5 / 7 too few to rate 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Bagautinov L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Herrera L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 193 / 537 35.9% 40.1% 178 / 451 39.5% 40.1%
In the clinch 131 / 169 77.5% 68.8% 20 / 23 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 27 / 31 87.1% 71.1% 78 / 112 69.6% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 188 / 507 37.1% 35.2% 176 / 458 38.4% 35.2%
To the body 88 / 130 67.7% 68.2% 75 / 98 76.5% 68.2%
To the legs 75 / 100 75.0% 80.3% 25 / 30 83.3% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1936.5% acc · 2.51/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
337.5% acc · 0.83/15 · norm 1.30
1365.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
538.5% def · norm 62.5%
31:5028.1% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
1:563.5% of cage time · norm 17.0%
10:591:27 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
22:216:09 per 15 · norm 2:44
20.26/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
20.55/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Bagautinov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.