BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alexander Volkov vs.
Tom Aspinall

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-5-0 Alexander Volkov · UFC
8-1-0 (1 NC) Tom Aspinall · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-5-0
UFC record
8-1-0 (1 NC)
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
37.8
AgeΔ 4.5 yrs
33.3
6'7"
HeightΔ 2"
6'5"
80"
ReachΔ 2"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.9
Layoff (months)Δ 6.5 mo
9.4
WWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
NCWWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tom Aspinall carries real power — 3.27 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Tom Aspinall is a submission threat — 1.31 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Alexander Volkov outworks the Heavyweight division — 5.08 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.36 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alexander Volkov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 218
Tier 3 — regional circuit 193

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.34 · 21 tier-1/2 wins · 28 finish wins over 51 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Tom Aspinall

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 81
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 52

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12505.08/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
1757.63/min · norm 3.36
7523.06/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
833.62/min · norm 3.19
57.7%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
67.6%norm 47.8%
54.4%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
57.0%norm 52.5%
40.24/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
53.27/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alexander Volkov

Distance 88.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 9.3%)

Tom Aspinall

Distance 66.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 24.7% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alexander Volkov

Head 70.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 15.8% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 13.4% (norm 7.6%)

Tom Aspinall

Head 77.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 12.7% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Volkov L/AAccHeavyweight med Aspinall L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1056 / 1909 55.3% 40.1% 108 / 171 63.2% 40.1%
In the clinch 104 / 148 70.3% 70.6% 17 / 24 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 90 / 111 81.1% 70.2% 50 / 64 78.1% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 734 / 1535 47.8% 38.9% 119 / 200 59.5% 38.9%
To the body 269 / 342 78.7% 76.8% 23 / 26 88.5% 76.8%
To the legs 247 / 291 84.9% 87.8% 33 / 33 100.0% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Volkov L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Aspinall L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 593 / 1430 41.5% 40.7% 80 / 186 43.0% 40.7%
In the clinch 42 / 58 72.4% 70.6% 3 / 6 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 117 / 162 72.2% 72.0% 0 / 1 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 420 / 1199 35.0% 38.8% 34 / 139 24.5% 38.8%
To the body 153 / 230 66.5% 75.1% 24 / 28 85.7% 75.1%
To the legs 179 / 221 81.0% 84.4% 25 / 26 96.2% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1062.5% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
480.0% acc · 2.62/15 · norm 0.95
6869.4% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
2100.0% def · norm 64.3%
22:539.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
5:0622.2% of cage time · norm 17.2%
56:093:25 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
0:010:00 per 15 · norm 2:28
20.12/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
21.31/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Volkov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.