BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alexander Volkov vs.
Sergei Pavlovich

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-5-0 Alexander Volkov · UFC
9-3-0 Sergei Pavlovich · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-5-0
UFC record
9-3-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
37
AgeΔ 3 yrs
34
6'7"
HeightΔ 4"
6'3"
80"
ReachΔ 4"
84"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
2.9
Layoff (months)Δ 0.7 mo
2.2
WWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Sergei Pavlovich carries real power — 1.89 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Alexander Volkov outworks the Heavyweight division — 5.08 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.36 norm.
Sergei Pavlovich rarely shoots — 0.47 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alexander Volkov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 218
Tier 3 — regional circuit 193

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.34 · 21 tier-1/2 wins · 28 finish wins over 51 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Sergei Pavlovich

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 93
Tier 3 — regional circuit 120

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.6 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12505.08/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
2854.49/min · norm 3.36
7523.06/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
2273.58/min · norm 3.19
57.7%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
44.7%norm 47.8%
54.4%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
56.2%norm 52.5%
40.24/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
81.89/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alexander Volkov

Distance 88.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 9.3%)

Sergei Pavlovich

Distance 87.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 7.1% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alexander Volkov

Head 70.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 15.8% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 13.4% (norm 7.6%)

Sergei Pavlovich

Head 89.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 7.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Volkov L/AAccHeavyweight med Pavlovich L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1056 / 1909 55.3% 40.1% 235 / 557 42.2% 40.1%
In the clinch 104 / 148 70.3% 70.6% 19 / 36 52.8% 70.6%
On the ground 90 / 111 81.1% 70.2% 31 / 45 68.9% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 734 / 1535 47.8% 38.9% 237 / 573 41.4% 38.9%
To the body 269 / 342 78.7% 76.8% 30 / 46 65.2% 76.8%
To the legs 247 / 291 84.9% 87.8% 18 / 19 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Volkov L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Pavlovich L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 593 / 1430 41.5% 40.7% 204 / 490 41.6% 40.7%
In the clinch 42 / 58 72.4% 70.6% 8 / 11 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 117 / 162 72.2% 72.0% 15 / 17 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 420 / 1199 35.0% 38.8% 113 / 352 32.1% 38.8%
To the body 153 / 230 66.5% 75.1% 38 / 61 62.3% 75.1%
To the legs 179 / 221 81.0% 84.4% 76 / 105 72.4% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1062.5% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
225.0% acc · 0.47/15 · norm 0.95
6869.4% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
375.0% def · norm 64.3%
22:539.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
7:3812.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
56:093:25 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
1:590:28 per 15 · norm 2:28
20.12/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Volkov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.