Alexander Volkanovski vs.
Mizuto Hirota
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Alexander Volkanovski
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 15 | 3 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 13 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.55 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 32 documented bouts
In the UFC: 12-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.4 wins over .500
Mizuto Hirota
Full career not yet synced for Mizuto Hirota — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Alexander Volkanovski
Distance 80.8% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 6.7% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 12.6% (norm 6.5%)
Mizuto Hirota
Distance 88.8% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 6.5% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Alexander Volkanovski
Head 73.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 8.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 18.0% (norm 7.8%)
Mizuto Hirota
Head 85.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 7.8%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Volkanovski L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Hirota L/A | Acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 1387 / 2567 | 54.0% | 40.9% | 306 / 823 | 37.2% | 40.9% |
| In the clinch | 154 / 212 | 72.6% | 70.8% | 26 / 44 | 59.1% | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 274 / 399 | 68.7% | 69.2% | 35 / 60 | 58.3% | 69.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 1180 / 2324 | 50.8% | 37.2% | 264 / 791 | 33.4% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 188 / 281 | 66.9% | 68.2% | 53 / 79 | 67.1% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 447 / 573 | 78.0% | 80.7% | 50 / 57 | 87.7% | 80.7% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Volkanovski L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Hirota L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 883 / 2278 | 38.8% | 39.2% | 297 / 707 | 42.0% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 95 / 126 | 75.4% | 70.3% | 29 / 41 | 70.7% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 25 / 27 | 92.6% | 69.4% | 48 / 76 | 63.2% | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 604 / 1851 | 32.6% | 35.9% | 243 / 643 | 37.8% | 35.9% |
| To the body | 242 / 356 | 68.0% | 67.9% | 66 / 103 | 64.1% | 67.9% |
| To the legs | 157 / 224 | 70.1% | 81.5% | 65 / 78 | 83.3% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Volkanovski has more cage time on record.