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Alexander Volkanovski vs. Islam Makhachev

UFC 15-3-0 vs. 18-1-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-3-0
UFC record
18-1-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
38
AgeΔ 4 yrs
34
5'6"
HeightΔ 4"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
8.6
Layoff (months)Δ 6.4 mo
2.2
WWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Islam Makhachev owns the mat — in control 51% of cage time, vs a 19% Lightweight norm.
Islam Makhachev hunts takedowns — 3.22 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Alexander Volkanovski outworks the Featherweight division — 5.99 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.52 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Alexander Volkanovski

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 153
Tier 3 — regional circuit 131

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.55 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.4 wins over .500

Islam Makhachev

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 171
Tier 3 — regional circuit 110

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.04 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 16-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

18155.99/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
5072.27/min · norm 3.44
10033.31/min · norm 3.50
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3161.42/min · norm 3.38
57.1%norm 44.7%
Striking accuracy
58.0%norm 43.65%
58.7%norm 54.8%
Striking defense
61.5%norm 56.3%
60.30/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
50.34/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alexander Volkanovski

Distance 80.8% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 6.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 12.6% (norm 6.5%)

Islam Makhachev

Distance 69.0% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 12.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alexander Volkanovski

Head 73.1% (norm 77.5%) · Body 8.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 18.0% (norm 7.9%)

Islam Makhachev

Head 80.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Volkanovski L/AAccFeatherweight med Makhachev L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1387 / 2567 54.0% 40.5% 293 / 603 48.6% 38.3%
In the clinch 154 / 212 72.6% 70.5% 95 / 112 84.8% 67.5%
On the ground 274 / 399 68.7% 69.3% 119 / 159 74.8% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 1180 / 2324 50.8% 37.1% 353 / 703 50.2% 35.1%
To the body 188 / 281 66.9% 68.0% 117 / 131 89.3% 69.1%
To the legs 447 / 573 78.0% 80.3% 37 / 40 92.5% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 127 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Volkanovski L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Makhachev L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 883 / 2278 38.8% 39.3% 228 / 707 32.2% 38.8%
In the clinch 95 / 126 75.4% 70.3% 69 / 84 82.1% 68.6%
On the ground 25 / 27 92.6% 69.4% 19 / 29 65.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 604 / 1851 32.6% 35.9% 150 / 566 26.5% 35.2%
To the body 242 / 356 68.0% 68.0% 110 / 178 61.8% 68.2%
To the legs 157 / 224 70.1% 81.5% 56 / 76 73.7% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
3334.0% acc · 1.63/15 · norm 1.17
Takedowns landed
4854.5% acc · 3.22/15 · norm 1.34
3168.9% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
2191.3% def · norm 63.7%
59:5019.7% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
113:5851.0% of cage time · norm 18.95%
15:430:46 per 15 · norm 3:11
Time under control lower is better
15:521:03 per 15 · norm 2:50
40.20/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
130.87/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Makhachev has more cage time on record.