BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alexander Hernandez vs.
Renato Moicano

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-8-0 Alexander Hernandez · UFC
13-7-0 Renato Moicano · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-8-0
UFC record
13-7-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
33.8
AgeΔ 3.4 yrs
37.2
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
72"
ReachΔ 0"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.4
Layoff (months)Δ 0.6 mo
4
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alexander Hernandez carries real power — 0.48 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Alexander Hernandez absorbs 4.45 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alexander Hernandez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 108
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 61

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.04 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Renato Moicano

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 137
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.29 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7894.23/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
7714.10/min · norm 3.42
8314.45/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
6683.55/min · norm 3.37
40.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
49.2%norm 43.5%
59.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.7%norm 56.3%
60.48/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.16/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alexander Hernandez

Distance 91.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 8.0%)

Renato Moicano

Distance 88.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alexander Hernandez

Head 72.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 7.9%)

Renato Moicano

Head 82.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hernandez L/AAccLightweight med Moicano L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 670 / 1779 37.7% 37.9% 636 / 1379 46.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 61 / 91 67.0% 67.3% 25 / 33 75.8% 67.3%
On the ground 58 / 81 71.6% 69.1% 110 / 155 71.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 438 / 1408 31.1% 35.0% 563 / 1296 43.4% 35.0%
To the body 245 / 392 62.5% 69.1% 75 / 114 65.8% 69.1%
To the legs 106 / 151 70.2% 81.9% 133 / 157 84.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hernandez L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Moicano L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 712 / 1894 37.6% 38.9% 556 / 1502 37.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 86 / 124 69.4% 68.6% 27 / 36 75.0% 68.6%
On the ground 33 / 45 73.3% 68.0% 85 / 119 71.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 495 / 1578 31.4% 35.1% 419 / 1331 31.5% 35.1%
To the body 197 / 314 62.7% 68.1% 123 / 176 69.9% 68.1%
To the legs 139 / 171 81.3% 81.5% 126 / 150 84.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1335.1% acc · 1.05/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2140.4% acc · 1.68/15 · norm 1.38
3368.8% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2764.3% def · norm 64.0%
24:0812.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
41:1121.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
17:121:22 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
24:421:58 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.08/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
70.56/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Moicano has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.