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Alexander Hernandez vs. Drew Dober

UFC 11-8-0 vs. 15-11-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
11-8-0
UFC record
15-11-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
34
AgeΔ 4 yrs
38
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
0.6
Layoff (months)Δ 6.9 mo
7.5
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Drew Dober carries real power — 0.68 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Alexander Hernandez carries real power — 0.62 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Drew Dober rarely shoots — 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Alexander Hernandez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 108
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 61

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.04 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Drew Dober

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8254.24/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
9944.48/min · norm 3.44
8574.40/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
9604.33/min · norm 3.38
40.5%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
41.0%norm 43.65%
59.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
53.1%norm 56.3%
80.62/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
100.68/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alexander Hernandez

Distance 90.4% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 8.0%)

Drew Dober

Distance 87.8% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alexander Hernandez

Head 72.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 19.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 8.0%)

Drew Dober

Head 79.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hernandez L/AAccLightweight med Dober L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 695 / 1842 37.7% 38.3% 790 / 2128 37.1% 38.3%
In the clinch 61 / 92 66.3% 67.5% 111 / 170 65.3% 67.5%
On the ground 69 / 103 67.0% 68.8% 93 / 125 74.4% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 465 / 1484 31.3% 35.1% 628 / 1922 32.7% 35.1%
To the body 252 / 400 63.0% 69.1% 225 / 326 69.0% 69.1%
To the legs 108 / 153 70.6% 81.8% 141 / 175 80.6% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hernandez L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Dober L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 737 / 1952 37.8% 38.8% 771 / 1793 43.0% 38.8%
In the clinch 86 / 124 69.4% 68.6% 87 / 121 71.9% 68.6%
On the ground 34 / 46 73.9% 68.0% 102 / 132 77.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 515 / 1627 31.7% 35.2% 681 / 1668 40.8% 35.2%
To the body 203 / 324 62.7% 68.2% 197 / 279 70.6% 68.2%
To the legs 139 / 171 81.3% 81.5% 82 / 99 82.8% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1335.1% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
917.0% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 1.34
3368.8% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
3958.2% def · norm 63.7%
26:5213.8% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
29:1913.2% of cage time · norm 18.95%
17:121:19 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
49:013:18 per 15 · norm 2:50
10.08/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
10.07/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dober has more cage time on record.