BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alexander Hernandez vs.
Bill Algeo

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-8-0 Alexander Hernandez · UFC
5-5-0 Bill Algeo · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-8-0
UFC record
5-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
33.8
AgeΔ 3.4 yrs
37.2
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
72"
ReachΔ 1"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
3.4
Layoff (months)Δ 21.1 mo
24.5
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alexander Hernandez carries real power — 0.48 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Bill Algeo outworks the Featherweight division — 5.37 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.54 norm.
Alexander Hernandez absorbs 4.45 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alexander Hernandez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 108
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 61

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.04 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Bill Algeo

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 3 — regional circuit 133

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7894.23/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
6245.37/min · norm 3.54
8314.45/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4633.99/min · norm 3.47
40.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
51.2%norm 45.0%
59.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
49.1%norm 54.85%
60.48/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.26/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alexander Hernandez

Distance 91.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 8.0%)

Bill Algeo

Distance 87.2% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 6.0% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alexander Hernandez

Head 72.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 7.9%)

Bill Algeo

Head 68.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 18.9% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 12.5% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hernandez L/AAccLightweight med Algeo L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 670 / 1779 37.7% 37.9% 498 / 1062 46.9% 40.9%
In the clinch 61 / 91 67.0% 67.3% 63 / 83 75.9% 70.8%
On the ground 58 / 81 71.6% 69.1% 63 / 73 86.3% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 438 / 1408 31.1% 35.0% 351 / 836 42.0% 37.2%
To the body 245 / 392 62.5% 69.1% 151 / 230 65.7% 68.2%
To the legs 106 / 151 70.2% 81.9% 122 / 152 80.3% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hernandez L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Algeo L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 712 / 1894 37.6% 38.9% 378 / 797 47.4% 39.2%
In the clinch 86 / 124 69.4% 68.6% 47 / 64 73.4% 70.3%
On the ground 33 / 45 73.3% 68.0% 38 / 49 77.6% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 495 / 1578 31.4% 35.1% 280 / 662 42.3% 35.9%
To the body 197 / 314 62.7% 68.1% 116 / 162 71.6% 67.9%
To the legs 139 / 171 81.3% 81.5% 67 / 86 77.9% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1335.1% acc · 1.05/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
956.3% acc · 1.16/15 · norm 1.19
3368.8% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2853.8% def · norm 61.5%
24:0812.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
21:4918.8% of cage time · norm 16.7%
17:121:22 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
27:163:31 per 15 · norm 3:12
10.08/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.13/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hernandez has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.