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Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko

UFC 10-5-1 vs. 15-3-1

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-5-1
UFC record
15-3-1
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
33
AgeΔ 5 yrs
38
5'5"
HeightΔ 0"
5'5"
66"
ReachΔ 0"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
1.2
Layoff (months)Δ 9.9 mo
11.1
WWLLD
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWDL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Valentina Shevchenko hunts takedowns — 2.65 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.94 Women's Flyweight norm.
Alexa Grasso is a submission threat — 0.63 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Alexa Grasso carries real power — 0.19 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.10 Women's Flyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Alexa Grasso

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 95
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.2 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Valentina Shevchenko

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 153
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.56 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10014.19/min · norm 3.93
Sig. strikes landed
11003.04/min · norm 3.93
9033.78/min · norm 3.84
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
7262.00/min · norm 3.84
41.1%norm 45.5%
Striking accuracy
52.6%norm 45.5%
59.7%norm 56.1%
Striking defense
63.5%norm 56.1%
30.19/15 · norm 0.10
Knockdowns
20.08/15 · norm 0.10

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alexa Grasso

Distance 89.9% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 8.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 1.8% (norm 4.5%)

Valentina Shevchenko

Distance 81.0% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.6% (norm 4.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alexa Grasso

Head 77.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 11.2% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 7.6%)

Valentina Shevchenko

Head 76.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 10.6% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Grasso L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Shevchenko L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 819 / 2191 37.4% 40.3% 790 / 1693 46.7% 40.3%
In the clinch 150 / 202 74.3% 73.9% 104 / 155 67.1% 73.9%
On the ground 32 / 43 74.4% 74.4% 206 / 242 85.1% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 633 / 1886 33.6% 36.0% 722 / 1590 45.4% 36.0%
To the body 179 / 272 65.8% 69.5% 150 / 221 67.9% 69.5%
To the legs 189 / 278 68.0% 82.3% 228 / 279 81.7% 82.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Grasso L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Shevchenko L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 779 / 2061 37.8% 39.0% 529 / 1739 30.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 78 / 117 66.7% 73.8% 153 / 183 83.6% 73.8%
On the ground 46 / 61 75.4% 73.4% 44 / 69 63.8% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 649 / 1888 34.4% 35.0% 265 / 1251 21.2% 35.0%
To the body 164 / 236 69.5% 69.0% 215 / 351 61.3% 69.0%
To the legs 90 / 115 78.3% 78.7% 246 / 389 63.2% 78.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
635.3% acc · 0.38/15 · norm 0.94
Takedowns landed
6461.5% acc · 2.65/15 · norm 0.94
4054.8% def · norm 61.1%
Takedowns stopped
4276.4% def · norm 61.1%
22:129.3% of cage time · norm 18.7%
Control time
113:4931.4% of cage time · norm 18.7%
54:093:23 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
51:082:07 per 15 · norm 3:00
100.63/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
70.29/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Shevchenko has more cage time on record.