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Alexa Grasso vs. Natalia Silva

UFC 10-5-1 vs. 9-0-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-5-1
UFC record
9-0-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
33
AgeΔ 4 yrs
29
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'4"
66"
ReachΔ 1"
65"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
1.2
Layoff (months)Δ 0.6 mo
0.6
WWLLD
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Natalia Silva carries real power — 0.35 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.10 Women's Flyweight norm.
Alexa Grasso is a submission threat — 0.63 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Alexa Grasso carries real power — 0.19 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.10 Women's Flyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Alexa Grasso

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 95
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.2 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Natalia Silva

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 80
Tier 3 — regional circuit 125

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.02 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10014.19/min · norm 3.93
Sig. strikes landed
6114.72/min · norm 3.93
9033.78/min · norm 3.84
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3442.66/min · norm 3.84
41.1%norm 45.5%
Striking accuracy
46.1%norm 45.5%
59.7%norm 56.1%
Striking defense
63.3%norm 56.1%
30.19/15 · norm 0.10
Knockdowns
30.35/15 · norm 0.10

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alexa Grasso

Distance 89.9% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 8.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 1.8% (norm 4.5%)

Natalia Silva

Distance 95.5% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 2.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.0% (norm 4.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alexa Grasso

Head 77.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 11.2% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 7.6%)

Natalia Silva

Head 74.0% (norm 78.1%) · Body 15.3% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Grasso L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Silva L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 819 / 2191 37.4% 40.3% 567 / 1266 44.8% 40.3%
In the clinch 150 / 202 74.3% 73.9% 27 / 32 84.4% 73.9%
On the ground 32 / 43 74.4% 74.4% 17 / 27 63.0% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 633 / 1886 33.6% 36.0% 353 / 980 36.0% 36.0%
To the body 179 / 272 65.8% 69.5% 135 / 203 66.5% 69.5%
To the legs 189 / 278 68.0% 82.3% 123 / 142 86.6% 82.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Grasso L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Silva L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 779 / 2061 37.8% 39.0% 319 / 903 35.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 78 / 117 66.7% 73.8% 24 / 33 72.7% 73.8%
On the ground 46 / 61 75.4% 73.4% 1 / 1 too few to rate 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 649 / 1888 34.4% 35.0% 175 / 649 27.0% 35.0%
To the body 164 / 236 69.5% 69.0% 77 / 145 53.1% 69.0%
To the legs 90 / 115 78.3% 78.7% 92 / 143 64.3% 78.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
635.3% acc · 0.38/15 · norm 0.94
Takedowns landed
640.0% acc · 0.70/15 · norm 0.94
4054.8% def · norm 61.1%
Takedowns stopped
2890.3% def · norm 61.1%
22:129.3% of cage time · norm 18.7%
Control time
10:167.9% of cage time · norm 18.7%
54:093:23 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
22:132:34 per 15 · norm 3:00
100.63/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Grasso has more cage time on record.