BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alex Oliveira vs.
Yancy Medeiros

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-10-0 (1 NC) Alex Oliveira · UFC
6-8-0 (1 NC) Yancy Medeiros · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-10-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
6-8-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
38.5
AgeΔ 0.4 yrs
38.9
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
76"
ReachΔ 1"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
53.1
Layoff (months)Δ 8.2 mo
61.3
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Yancy Medeiros carries real power — 1.10 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Alex Oliveira hunts takedowns — 2.35 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Yancy Medeiros absorbs 6.18 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alex Oliveira

Full career not yet synced for Alex Oliveira — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Yancy Medeiros

Full career not yet synced for Yancy Medeiros — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6292.99/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
5514.49/min · norm 3.42
5372.55/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
7586.18/min · norm 3.37
51.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
37.2%norm 43.5%
46.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
47.2%norm 56.3%
60.43/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
91.10/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alex Oliveira

Distance 69.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 17.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.3% (norm 8.1%)

Yancy Medeiros

Distance 92.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alex Oliveira

Head 71.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.4%)

Yancy Medeiros

Head 80.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Oliveira L/AAccWelterweight med Medeiros L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 374 / 857 43.6% 38.6% 467 / 1371 34.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 142 / 209 67.9% 67.8% 47 / 63 74.6% 67.3%
On the ground 113 / 164 68.9% 67.2% 37 / 49 75.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 356 / 884 40.3% 37.2% 357 / 1199 29.8% 35.0%
To the body 158 / 218 72.5% 70.7% 133 / 213 62.4% 69.1%
To the legs 115 / 128 89.8% 82.9% 61 / 71 85.9% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Oliveira L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Medeiros L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 303 / 704 43.0% 39.0% 605 / 1228 49.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 108 / 141 76.6% 68.9% 92 / 134 68.7% 68.6%
On the ground 126 / 162 77.8% 68.0% 61 / 73 83.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 328 / 737 44.5% 35.6% 455 / 1030 44.2% 35.1%
To the body 90 / 135 66.7% 69.6% 181 / 260 69.6% 68.1%
To the legs 119 / 135 88.1% 82.1% 122 / 145 84.1% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3338.4% acc · 2.35/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
350.0% acc · 0.37/15 · norm 1.38
3063.8% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2463.2% def · norm 64.0%
69:2733.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
10:298.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
52:553:46 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
20:472:32 per 15 · norm 2:46
80.57/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
60.73/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Oliveira has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.