Alex Oliveira vs.
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Alex Oliveira
Full career not yet synced for Alex Oliveira — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 5-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500
Shavkat Rakhmonov
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 7 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 12 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.99 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 19 documented bouts
In the UFC: 7-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.4 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Alex Oliveira
Distance 69.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 17.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.3% (norm 8.1%)
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Distance 63.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 19.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.5% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Alex Oliveira
Head 71.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.4%)
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Head 77.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.7% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Oliveira L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Rakhmonov L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 374 / 857 | 43.6% | 38.6% | 137 / 258 | 53.1% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 142 / 209 | 67.9% | 67.8% | 59 / 77 | 76.6% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 113 / 164 | 68.9% | 67.2% | 48 / 71 | 67.6% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 356 / 884 | 40.3% | 37.2% | 170 / 315 | 54.0% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 158 / 218 | 72.5% | 70.7% | 64 / 80 | 80.0% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 115 / 128 | 89.8% | 82.9% | 10 / 11 | too few to rate | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Oliveira L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Rakhmonov L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 303 / 704 | 43.0% | 39.0% | 131 / 290 | 45.2% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 108 / 141 | 76.6% | 68.9% | 27 / 37 | 73.0% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 126 / 162 | 77.8% | 68.0% | 5 / 8 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 328 / 737 | 44.5% | 35.6% | 93 / 235 | 39.6% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 90 / 135 | 66.7% | 69.6% | 32 / 47 | 68.1% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 119 / 135 | 88.1% | 82.1% | 38 / 53 | 71.7% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Oliveira has more cage time on record.