BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alex Oliveira vs.
Max Griffin

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-10-0 (1 NC) Alex Oliveira · UFC
8-11-0 Max Griffin · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-10-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
8-11-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
38.5
AgeΔ 2.2 yrs
40.7
5'11"
HeightΔ 0"
5'11"
76"
ReachΔ 0"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
53.1
Layoff (months)Δ 49.7 mo
3.4
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alex Oliveira hunts takedowns — 2.35 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Alex Oliveira owns the mat — in control 33% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Max Griffin carries real power — 0.48 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alex Oliveira

Full career not yet synced for Alex Oliveira — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Max Griffin

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 811
Tier 3 — regional circuit 122

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.72 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6292.99/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
9223.70/min · norm 3.17
5372.55/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
9213.69/min · norm 3.06
51.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
47.3%norm 44.9%
46.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
58.0%norm 55.25%
60.43/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
80.48/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alex Oliveira

Distance 69.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 17.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.3% (norm 8.1%)

Max Griffin

Distance 88.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 6.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.4% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alex Oliveira

Head 71.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.4%)

Max Griffin

Head 79.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Oliveira L/AAccWelterweight med Griffin L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 374 / 857 43.6% 38.6% 786 / 1733 45.4% 38.6%
In the clinch 142 / 209 67.9% 67.8% 84 / 131 64.1% 67.8%
On the ground 113 / 164 68.9% 67.2% 52 / 86 60.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 356 / 884 40.3% 37.2% 615 / 1542 39.9% 37.2%
To the body 158 / 218 72.5% 70.7% 179 / 262 68.3% 70.7%
To the legs 115 / 128 89.8% 82.9% 128 / 146 87.7% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Oliveira L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Griffin L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 303 / 704 43.0% 39.0% 773 / 1977 39.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 108 / 141 76.6% 68.9% 120 / 173 69.4% 68.9%
On the ground 126 / 162 77.8% 68.0% 28 / 43 65.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 328 / 737 44.5% 35.6% 609 / 1746 34.9% 35.6%
To the body 90 / 135 66.7% 69.6% 191 / 297 64.3% 69.6%
To the legs 119 / 135 88.1% 82.1% 121 / 150 80.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3338.4% acc · 2.35/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2441.4% acc · 1.44/15 · norm 1.27
3063.8% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4169.5% def · norm 63.9%
69:2733.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
38:1715.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
52:553:46 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
35:552:09 per 15 · norm 3:15
80.57/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.24/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Oliveira has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.