BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alex Caceres vs.
Rolando Dy

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

16-13-0 (1 NC) Alex Caceres · UFC
1-3-0 Rolando Dy · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

16-13-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
1-3-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
38.1
AgeΔ 2.1 yrs
36
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
73"
ReachΔ 4"
69"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
26.8
Layoff (months)Δ 70.6 mo
97.4
LLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rolando Dy rarely shoots — 0.30 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Alex Caceres rarely shoots — 0.54 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Alex Caceres is a submission threat — 0.67 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alex Caceres

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1613
Tier 3 — regional circuit 52

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.78 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 37 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Rolando Dy

Full career not yet synced for Rolando Dy — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15194.21/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
1513.04/min · norm 3.54
11153.09/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
2224.47/min · norm 3.47
50.0%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
37.7%norm 45.0%
62.8%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
52.4%norm 54.85%
50.21/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.30/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alex Caceres

Distance 90.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 6.5%)

Rolando Dy

Distance 88.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 9.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 2.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alex Caceres

Head 75.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.8%)

Rolando Dy

Head 76.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 17.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Caceres L/AAccFeatherweight med Dy L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1306 / 2737 47.7% 40.9% 117 / 354 33.1% 40.9%
In the clinch 128 / 177 72.3% 70.8% 27 / 36 75.0% 70.8%
On the ground 85 / 126 67.5% 69.2% 7 / 11 too few to rate 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 950 / 2289 41.5% 37.2% 91 / 307 29.6% 37.2%
To the body 381 / 521 73.1% 68.2% 43 / 70 61.4% 68.2%
To the legs 188 / 230 81.7% 80.7% 17 / 24 too few to rate 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Caceres L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Dy L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 957 / 2752 34.8% 39.2% 170 / 382 44.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 70 / 105 66.7% 70.3% 25 / 41 61.0% 70.3%
On the ground 88 / 144 61.1% 69.4% 27 / 43 62.8% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 633 / 2305 27.5% 35.9% 155 / 386 40.2% 35.9%
To the body 210 / 358 58.7% 67.9% 39 / 50 78.0% 67.9%
To the legs 272 / 338 80.5% 81.5% 28 / 30 93.3% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1368.4% acc · 0.54/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
120.0% acc · 0.30/15 · norm 1.19
8564.9% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
1568.2% def · norm 61.5%
44:1012.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
3:246.8% of cage time · norm 16.7%
76:363:11 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
12:543:53 per 15 · norm 3:12
160.67/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Caceres has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.