Alex Caceres vs.
Julian Erosa
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Alex Caceres
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 16 | 13 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 5 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.78 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 37 documented bouts
In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500
Julian Erosa
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 10 | 9 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 0 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 21 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.92 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 26 finish wins over 44 documented bouts
In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Alex Caceres
Distance 90.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 6.5%)
Julian Erosa
Distance 85.7% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Alex Caceres
Head 75.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.8%)
Julian Erosa
Head 78.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.4% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 7.8%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Caceres L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Erosa L/A | Acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 1306 / 2737 | 47.7% | 40.9% | 664 / 1528 | 43.5% | 40.9% |
| In the clinch | 128 / 177 | 72.3% | 70.8% | 139 / 196 | 70.9% | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 85 / 126 | 67.5% | 69.2% | 52 / 59 | 88.1% | 69.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 950 / 2289 | 41.5% | 37.2% | 566 / 1394 | 40.6% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 381 / 521 | 73.1% | 68.2% | 208 / 292 | 71.2% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 188 / 230 | 81.7% | 80.7% | 81 / 97 | 83.5% | 80.7% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Caceres L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Erosa L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 957 / 2752 | 34.8% | 39.2% | 738 / 1504 | 49.1% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 70 / 105 | 66.7% | 70.3% | 83 / 133 | 62.4% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 88 / 144 | 61.1% | 69.4% | 57 / 93 | 61.3% | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 633 / 2305 | 27.5% | 35.9% | 643 / 1431 | 44.9% | 35.9% |
| To the body | 210 / 358 | 58.7% | 67.9% | 115 / 153 | 75.2% | 67.9% |
| To the legs | 272 / 338 | 80.5% | 81.5% | 120 / 146 | 82.2% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Caceres has more cage time on record.