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Alex Caceres vs. Francisco Rivera

UFC 16-13-0 (1 NC) vs. 4-6-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
16-13-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
4-6-0 (1 NC)
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
38
AgeΔ 7 yrs
45
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
73"
ReachΔ 3"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
29.3
Layoff (months)Δ 93.4 mo
122.7
LLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Francisco Rivera carries real power — 0.74 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Bantamweight norm.
Francisco Rivera is a submission threat — 0.59 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Alex Caceres rarely shoots — 0.54 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.17 Featherweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Alex Caceres

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1613
Tier 3 — regional circuit 52

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.78 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 37 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Francisco Rivera

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 46
Tier 3 — regional circuit 106

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.17 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15194.21/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
4214.13/min · norm 3.52
11153.09/min · norm 3.50
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3213.15/min · norm 3.58
50.0%norm 44.7%
Striking accuracy
41.4%norm 43.5%
62.8%norm 54.8%
Striking defense
68.3%norm 56.6%
50.21/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
50.74/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alex Caceres

Distance 90.0% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 6.5%)

Francisco Rivera

Distance 88.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 7.8% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alex Caceres

Head 75.3% (norm 77.5%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.9%)

Francisco Rivera

Head 84.7% (norm 77.5%) · Body 6.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Caceres L/AAccFeatherweight med Rivera L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1306 / 2737 47.7% 40.5% 353 / 901 39.2% 39.2%
In the clinch 128 / 177 72.3% 70.5% 45 / 79 57.0% 69.0%
On the ground 85 / 126 67.5% 69.3% 23 / 38 60.5% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 950 / 2289 41.5% 37.1% 299 / 862 34.7% 35.3%
To the body 381 / 521 73.1% 68.0% 47 / 67 70.1% 66.9%
To the legs 188 / 230 81.7% 80.3% 75 / 89 84.3% 79.2%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 127 fighters · Bantamweight: 121 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Caceres L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Rivera L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 957 / 2752 34.8% 39.3% 216 / 847 25.5% 39.4%
In the clinch 70 / 105 66.7% 70.3% 42 / 71 59.2% 70.6%
On the ground 88 / 144 61.1% 69.4% 63 / 94 67.0% 72.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 633 / 2305 27.5% 35.9% 170 / 778 21.9% 34.9%
To the body 210 / 358 58.7% 68.0% 97 / 149 65.1% 66.1%
To the legs 272 / 338 80.5% 81.5% 54 / 85 63.5% 78.8%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1368.4% acc · 0.54/15 · norm 1.17
Takedowns landed
763.6% acc · 1.03/15 · norm 1.12
8564.9% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
2668.4% def · norm 65.7%
44:1012.2% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
4:204.2% of cage time · norm 17.8%
76:363:11 per 15 · norm 3:11
Time under control lower is better
29:204:18 per 15 · norm 2:24
160.67/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.59/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Caceres has more cage time on record.