BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alex Caceres vs.
Cole Miller

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

16-13-0 (1 NC) Alex Caceres · UFC
10-9-0 (1 NC) Cole Miller · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

16-13-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
10-9-0 (1 NC)
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
38.1
AgeΔ 4.2 yrs
42.3
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
6'1"
73"
ReachΔ 0"
73"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
26.8
Layoff (months)Δ 88.8 mo
115.6
LLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLNCLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cole Miller is a submission threat — 1.79 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Alex Caceres rarely shoots — 0.54 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Cole Miller rarely shoots — 0.60 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alex Caceres

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1613
Tier 3 — regional circuit 52

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.78 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 37 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Cole Miller

Full career not yet synced for Cole Miller — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15194.21/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
6053.00/min · norm 3.54
11153.09/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
7833.88/min · norm 3.47
50.0%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
33.3%norm 45.0%
62.8%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
59.3%norm 54.85%
50.21/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
40.30/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alex Caceres

Distance 90.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 6.5%)

Cole Miller

Distance 89.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alex Caceres

Head 75.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.8%)

Cole Miller

Head 84.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.2% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.5% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Caceres L/AAccFeatherweight med Miller L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1306 / 2737 47.7% 40.9% 476 / 1621 29.4% 40.9%
In the clinch 128 / 177 72.3% 70.8% 70 / 109 64.2% 70.8%
On the ground 85 / 126 67.5% 69.2% 59 / 86 68.6% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 950 / 2289 41.5% 37.2% 421 / 1530 27.5% 37.2%
To the body 381 / 521 73.1% 68.2% 103 / 186 55.4% 68.2%
To the legs 188 / 230 81.7% 80.7% 81 / 100 81.0% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Caceres L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Miller L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 957 / 2752 34.8% 39.2% 574 / 1565 36.7% 39.2%
In the clinch 70 / 105 66.7% 70.3% 66 / 115 57.4% 70.3%
On the ground 88 / 144 61.1% 69.4% 143 / 243 58.8% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 633 / 2305 27.5% 35.9% 512 / 1568 32.7% 35.9%
To the body 210 / 358 58.7% 67.9% 130 / 188 69.1% 67.9%
To the legs 272 / 338 80.5% 81.5% 141 / 167 84.4% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1368.4% acc · 0.54/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
836.4% acc · 0.60/15 · norm 1.19
8564.9% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
1738.6% def · norm 61.5%
44:1012.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
30:4115.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
76:363:11 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
56:194:11 per 15 · norm 3:12
160.67/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
241.79/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Caceres has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.