BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alessio Sakara vs.
Dean Lister

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-8-0 (1 NC) Alessio Sakara · UFC
4-2-0 Dean Lister · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-8-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
4-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
44.9
AgeΔ 5.6 yrs
50.5
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
72"
ReachΔ 3"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
153.3
Layoff (months)Δ 58 mo
211.3
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alessio Sakara carries real power — 0.79 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Dean Lister is a submission threat — 1.13 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Dean Lister's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 63% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alessio Sakara

Full career not yet synced for Alessio Sakara — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Dean Lister

Full career not yet synced for Dean Lister — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2993.96/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
861.30/min · norm 3.25
2122.80/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
1412.13/min · norm 3.20
47.8%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
33.6%norm 47.4%
59.2%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
60.9%norm 53.8%
40.79/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alessio Sakara

Distance 54.8% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 13.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 31.3% (norm 10.3%)

Dean Lister

Distance 83.2% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 8.2% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alessio Sakara

Head 88.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 1.6% (norm 8.4%)

Dean Lister

Head 79.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 11.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Sakara L/AAccMiddleweight med Lister L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 133 / 343 38.8% 40.5% 66 / 213 31.0% 40.5%
In the clinch 56 / 87 64.4% 70.3% 4 / 22 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 110 / 196 56.1% 69.1% 16 / 21 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 241 / 552 43.7% 38.9% 53 / 203 26.1% 38.9%
To the body 49 / 64 76.6% 71.7% 11 / 24 too few to rate 71.7%
To the legs 9 / 10 too few to rate 83.3% 22 / 29 75.9% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Sakara L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Lister L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 107 / 354 30.2% 39.5% 81 / 265 30.6% 39.5%
In the clinch 43 / 69 62.3% 70.9% 25 / 39 64.1% 70.9%
On the ground 62 / 97 63.9% 69.0% 35 / 57 61.4% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 150 / 445 33.7% 37.9% 108 / 315 34.3% 37.9%
To the body 21 / 24 too few to rate 71.3% 15 / 20 too few to rate 71.3%
To the legs 41 / 51 80.4% 82.1% 18 / 26 69.2% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1178.6% acc · 2.18/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
814.8% acc · 1.81/15 · norm 1.42
2262.9% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
00.0% def · norm 63.1%
20:3327.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
9:2214.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
16:223:14 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
25:455:50 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
51.13/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Sakara has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.