BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Aleksei Oleinik vs.
Fabricio Werdum

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-8-0 Aleksei Oleinik · UFC
12-6-0 Fabricio Werdum · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-8-0
UFC record
12-6-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
49
AgeΔ 0 yrs
49
6'2"
HeightΔ 2"
6'4"
80"
ReachΔ 3"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
46.2
Layoff (months)Δ 26.2 mo
72.4
LWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Aleksei Oleinik is a submission threat — 1.95 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Fabricio Werdum is a submission threat — 0.47 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Aleksei Oleinik hunts takedowns — 1.82 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Aleksei Oleinik

Full career not yet synced for Aleksei Oleinik — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Fabricio Werdum

Full career not yet synced for Fabricio Werdum — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3803.29/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
8904.60/min · norm 3.36
4403.80/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
6283.25/min · norm 3.19
48.9%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
56.4%norm 47.8%
44.3%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
54.9%norm 52.5%
20.26/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
40.31/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Aleksei Oleinik

Distance 79.8% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 15.2% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 9.3%)

Fabricio Werdum

Distance 79.8% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Aleksei Oleinik

Head 79.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.1% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 7.6%)

Fabricio Werdum

Head 75.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.6% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Oleinik L/AAccHeavyweight med Werdum L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 266 / 620 42.9% 40.1% 673 / 1260 53.4% 40.1%
In the clinch 86 / 118 72.9% 70.6% 112 / 155 72.3% 70.6%
On the ground 28 / 39 71.8% 70.2% 105 / 164 64.0% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 239 / 615 38.9% 38.9% 568 / 1199 47.4% 38.9%
To the body 91 / 102 89.2% 76.8% 169 / 215 78.6% 76.8%
To the legs 50 / 60 83.3% 87.8% 153 / 165 92.7% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Oleinik L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Werdum L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 248 / 555 44.7% 40.7% 482 / 1199 40.2% 40.7%
In the clinch 85 / 110 77.3% 70.6% 97 / 140 69.3% 70.6%
On the ground 107 / 125 85.6% 72.0% 49 / 55 89.1% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 347 / 678 51.2% 38.8% 417 / 1107 37.7% 38.8%
To the body 67 / 85 78.8% 75.1% 82 / 115 71.3% 75.1%
To the legs 26 / 27 96.3% 84.4% 129 / 172 75.0% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1446.7% acc · 1.82/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
1628.6% acc · 1.24/15 · norm 0.95
937.5% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
426.7% def · norm 64.3%
35:1230.4% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
36:0418.6% of cage time · norm 17.2%
33:554:23 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
21:431:41 per 15 · norm 2:28
151.95/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
60.47/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Werdum has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.