BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Aleksei Oleinik vs.
Alistair Overeem

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-8-0 Aleksei Oleinik · UFC
12-8-0 Alistair Overeem · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-8-0
UFC record
12-8-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
49
AgeΔ 3 yrs
46
6'2"
HeightΔ 2"
6'4"
80"
ReachΔ 0"
80"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
46.2
Layoff (months)Δ 19.7 mo
65.9
LWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Aleksei Oleinik is a submission threat — 1.95 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Alistair Overeem carries real power — 0.81 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Aleksei Oleinik hunts takedowns — 1.82 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Aleksei Oleinik

Full career not yet synced for Aleksei Oleinik — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Alistair Overeem

Full career not yet synced for Alistair Overeem — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3803.29/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
7153.87/min · norm 3.36
4403.80/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
5893.19/min · norm 3.19
48.9%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
74.3%norm 47.8%
44.3%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
51.1%norm 52.5%
20.26/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
100.81/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Aleksei Oleinik

Distance 79.8% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 15.2% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 9.3%)

Alistair Overeem

Distance 50.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 17.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 32.6% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Aleksei Oleinik

Head 79.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.1% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 7.6%)

Alistair Overeem

Head 61.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 27.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 11.1% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Oleinik L/AAccHeavyweight med Overeem L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 266 / 620 42.9% 40.1% 314 / 482 65.1% 40.1%
In the clinch 86 / 118 72.9% 70.6% 144 / 166 86.7% 70.6%
On the ground 28 / 39 71.8% 70.2% 257 / 314 81.8% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 239 / 615 38.9% 38.9% 386 / 593 65.1% 38.9%
To the body 91 / 102 89.2% 76.8% 231 / 262 88.2% 76.8%
To the legs 50 / 60 83.3% 87.8% 98 / 107 91.6% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Oleinik L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Overeem L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 248 / 555 44.7% 40.7% 357 / 887 40.2% 40.7%
In the clinch 85 / 110 77.3% 70.6% 155 / 220 70.5% 70.6%
On the ground 107 / 125 85.6% 72.0% 77 / 98 78.6% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 347 / 678 51.2% 38.8% 404 / 958 42.2% 38.8%
To the body 67 / 85 78.8% 75.1% 126 / 166 75.9% 75.1%
To the legs 26 / 27 96.3% 84.4% 59 / 81 72.8% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1446.7% acc · 1.82/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
1034.5% acc · 0.81/15 · norm 0.95
937.5% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1263.2% def · norm 64.3%
35:1230.4% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
48:0926.1% of cage time · norm 17.2%
33:554:23 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
18:531:31 per 15 · norm 2:28
151.95/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
30.24/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Overeem has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.