BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Aleksandar Rakic vs.
Jan Blachowicz

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-5-0 Aleksandar Rakic · UFC
12-9-2 Jan Blachowicz · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-5-0
UFC record
12-9-2
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
34.5
AgeΔ 8.9 yrs
43.4
6'4"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
78"
ReachΔ 0"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.2
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
0.2
WLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LDLLD
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Aleksandar Rakic owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Aleksandar Rakic rarely shoots — 0.57 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Jan Blachowicz is a submission threat — 0.36 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Aleksandar Rakic

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 75
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500

Jan Blachowicz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 129
Tier 3 — regional circuit 123

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.87 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5564.20/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
10403.53/min · norm 3.41
3692.78/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
9533.23/min · norm 3.35
50.5%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
50.2%norm 48.3%
54.8%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
51.6%norm 52.9%
40.45/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
70.36/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Aleksandar Rakic

Distance 80.5% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 13.6% (norm 10.4%)

Jan Blachowicz

Distance 85.1% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 7.6% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Aleksandar Rakic

Head 67.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 12.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 20.1% (norm 9.7%)

Jan Blachowicz

Head 73.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 15.4% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rakic L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Blachowicz L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 389 / 886 43.9% 41.4% 815 / 1762 46.3% 41.4%
In the clinch 52 / 64 81.2% 70.9% 107 / 151 70.9% 70.9%
On the ground 115 / 150 76.7% 72.3% 118 / 157 75.2% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 282 / 745 37.9% 38.9% 639 / 1530 41.8% 38.9%
To the body 103 / 134 76.9% 71.9% 215 / 319 67.4% 71.9%
To the legs 171 / 221 77.4% 81.8% 186 / 221 84.2% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rakic L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Blachowicz L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 284 / 704 40.3% 40.4% 628 / 1520 41.3% 40.4%
In the clinch 56 / 73 76.7% 68.7% 80 / 108 74.1% 68.7%
On the ground 29 / 40 72.5% 70.4% 245 / 340 72.1% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 188 / 557 33.8% 37.5% 563 / 1428 39.4% 37.5%
To the body 83 / 145 57.2% 72.3% 156 / 254 61.4% 72.3%
To the legs 98 / 115 85.2% 83.0% 234 / 286 81.8% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

521.7% acc · 0.57/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1948.7% acc · 0.97/15 · norm 0.87
2087.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
4270.0% def · norm 66.7%
40:2730.5% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
39:1213.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
5:450:39 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
79:114:01 per 15 · norm 2:48
10.11/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
70.36/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Blachowicz has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.