Alan Belcher vs.
Jason MacDonald
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Alan Belcher
Full career not yet synced for Alan Belcher — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500
Jason MacDonald
Full career not yet synced for Jason MacDonald — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Alan Belcher
Distance 79.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 10.3%)
Jason MacDonald
Distance 43.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 30.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 25.6% (norm 10.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Alan Belcher
Head 75.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 13.8% (norm 8.4%)
Jason MacDonald
Head 63.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 27.2% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Belcher L/A | Acc | Middleweight med | MacDonald L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 252 / 705 | 35.7% | 40.5% | 24 / 107 | 22.4% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 58 / 82 | 70.7% | 70.3% | 61 / 76 | 80.3% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 62 / 102 | 60.8% | 69.1% | 45 / 63 | 71.4% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 211 / 672 | 31.4% | 38.9% | 50 / 156 | 32.1% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 61 / 94 | 64.9% | 71.7% | 20 / 23 | too few to rate | 71.7% |
| To the legs | 100 / 123 | 81.3% | 83.3% | 60 / 67 | 89.6% | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Belcher L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med | vs MacDonald L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 306 / 870 | 35.2% | 39.5% | 41 / 118 | 34.7% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 69 / 104 | 66.3% | 70.9% | 51 / 75 | 68.0% | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 52 / 84 | 61.9% | 69.0% | 134 / 233 | 57.5% | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 328 / 921 | 35.6% | 37.9% | 191 / 381 | 50.1% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 49 / 76 | 64.5% | 71.3% | 23 / 27 | 85.2% | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 50 / 61 | 82.0% | 82.1% | 12 / 18 | too few to rate | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Belcher has more cage time on record.