AJ Fletcher vs.
Themba Gorimbo
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
AJ Fletcher
Full career not yet synced for AJ Fletcher — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500
Themba Gorimbo
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 4 | 4 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 10 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.62 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 21 documented bouts
In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
AJ Fletcher
Distance 87.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.8% (norm 8.1%)
Themba Gorimbo
Distance 65.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 18.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.0% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
AJ Fletcher
Head 80.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.2% (norm 8.4%)
Themba Gorimbo
Head 68.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 21.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 9.9% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Fletcher L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Gorimbo L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 131 / 275 | 47.6% | 38.6% | 123 / 257 | 47.9% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 12 / 20 | too few to rate | 67.8% | 56 / 71 | 78.9% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 10 / 18 | too few to rate | 67.2% | 45 / 67 | 67.2% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 107 / 251 | 42.6% | 37.2% | 117 / 270 | 43.3% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 17 / 27 | 63.0% | 70.7% | 69 / 86 | 80.2% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 29 / 35 | 82.9% | 82.9% | 38 / 39 | 97.4% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Fletcher L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Gorimbo L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 150 / 310 | 48.4% | 39.0% | 86 / 222 | 38.7% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 30 / 41 | 73.2% | 68.9% | 31 / 35 | 88.6% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 40 / 54 | 74.1% | 68.0% | 28 / 42 | 66.7% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 131 / 286 | 45.8% | 35.6% | 103 / 239 | 43.1% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 70 / 97 | 72.2% | 69.6% | 32 / 41 | 78.0% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 19 / 22 | too few to rate | 82.1% | 10 / 19 | too few to rate | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gorimbo has more cage time on record.