BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Adrian Yanez vs.
Tony Kelley

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-3-1 Adrian Yanez · UFC
2-2-0 Tony Kelley · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-3-1
UFC record
2-2-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
32
AgeΔ 7 yrs
39
5'7"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
0.9
Layoff (months)Δ 48.7 mo
49.6
WDLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tony Kelley is a submission threat — 1.39 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Adrian Yanez carries real power — 1.41 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Tony Kelley rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Adrian Yanez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 93
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 43
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.35 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Tony Kelley

Full career not yet synced for Tony Kelley — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5045.92/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
2395.55/min · norm 3.52
4455.23/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
2094.85/min · norm 3.58
41.8%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
47.2%norm 43.4%
56.5%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
45.6%norm 56.6%
81.41/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Adrian Yanez

Distance 93.6% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 1.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 4.9% (norm 6.5%)

Tony Kelley

Distance 75.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 18.0% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 6.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Adrian Yanez

Head 85.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 8.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 8.4%)

Tony Kelley

Head 62.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 27.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Yanez L/AAccBantamweight med Kelley L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 459 / 1130 40.6% 39.0% 144 / 381 37.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 9 / 18 too few to rate 68.7% 72 / 91 79.1% 68.7%
On the ground 36 / 59 61.0% 70.2% 23 / 34 67.6% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 373 / 1028 36.3% 34.9% 112 / 317 35.3% 34.9%
To the body 64 / 105 61.0% 66.8% 89 / 141 63.1% 66.8%
To the legs 67 / 74 90.5% 79.4% 38 / 48 79.2% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Yanez L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Kelley L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 427 / 997 42.8% 39.3% 165 / 334 49.4% 39.3%
In the clinch 7 / 13 too few to rate 70.4% 36 / 39 92.3% 70.4%
On the ground 11 / 14 too few to rate 72.4% 8 / 11 too few to rate 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 278 / 771 36.1% 34.9% 110 / 269 40.9% 34.9%
To the body 83 / 143 58.0% 66.0% 84 / 95 88.4% 66.0%
To the legs 84 / 110 76.4% 79.1% 15 / 20 too few to rate 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.12
1275.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1152.4% def · norm 66.7%
2:042.4% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
5:2412.5% of cage time · norm 17.4%
6:581:13 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
13:424:46 per 15 · norm 2:24
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
41.39/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Yanez has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.