BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Abubakar Vagaev vs.
Saygid Izagakhmaev

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-0-0 Abubakar Vagaev · UFC
0-2-0 Saygid Izagakhmaev · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-0-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
33
AgeΔ 2 yrs
31
Height
Reach
Stance
0.4
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
0.4
W
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Saygid Izagakhmaev is a submission threat — 1.50 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Abubakar Vagaev hunts takedowns — 4.00 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Abubakar Vagaev owns the mat — in control 52% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Abubakar Vagaev

Full career not yet synced for Abubakar Vagaev — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500

Saygid Izagakhmaev

Full career not yet synced for Saygid Izagakhmaev — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

271.80/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
531.77/min · norm 3.17
332.20/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
531.77/min · norm 3.06
38.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
45.3%norm 44.9%
60.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
60.2%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Abubakar Vagaev

Distance 84.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 8.1%)

Saygid Izagakhmaev

Distance 75.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 19.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Abubakar Vagaev

Head 74.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 18.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.1% (norm 8.4%)

Saygid Izagakhmaev

Head 73.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Vagaev L/AAccWelterweight med Izagakhmaev L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 18 / 59 30.5% 38.6% 31 / 88 35.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 7 / 9 too few to rate 67.8% 18 / 23 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 2 / 2 too few to rate 67.2% 4 / 6 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 16 / 52 30.8% 37.2% 27 / 86 31.4% 37.2%
To the body 7 / 13 too few to rate 70.7% 16 / 19 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 4 / 5 too few to rate 82.9% 10 / 12 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Vagaev L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Izagakhmaev L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 23 / 69 33.3% 39.0% 29 / 99 29.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.9% 20 / 30 66.7% 68.9%
On the ground 2 / 3 too few to rate 68.0% 4 / 4 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 16 / 63 25.4% 35.6% 29 / 93 31.2% 35.6%
To the body 7 / 9 too few to rate 69.6% 15 / 29 51.7% 69.6%
To the legs 10 / 11 too few to rate 82.1% 9 / 11 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

440.0% acc · 4.00/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
635.3% acc · 3.00/15 · norm 1.27
571.4% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
866.7% def · norm 63.9%
7:4651.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
8:0426.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
2:462:46 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
14:157:07 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
31.50/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Izagakhmaev has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.