BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Aaron Rosa vs.
Joey Beltran

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Aaron Rosa · UFC
3-6-0 (1 NC) Joey Beltran · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
3-6-0 (1 NC)
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
43.2
AgeΔ 1.5 yrs
44.7
6'4"
HeightΔ 3"
6'1"
77"
ReachΔ 2"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
173.1
Layoff (months)Δ 19.2 mo
153.9
LWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LNCLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Aaron Rosa rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Joey Beltran absorbs 5.18 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.19 Heavyweight norm — hittable.
Joey Beltran owns the mat — in control 27% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Aaron Rosa

Full career not yet synced for Aaron Rosa — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Joey Beltran

Full career not yet synced for Joey Beltran — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1324.62/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
5834.58/min · norm 3.36
1294.52/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
6605.18/min · norm 3.19
45.5%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
37.1%norm 47.8%
50.4%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
50.5%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Aaron Rosa

Distance 78.3% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 21.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 10.4%)

Joey Beltran

Distance 80.4% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 16.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Aaron Rosa

Head 80.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 16.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 3.4% (norm 9.7%)

Joey Beltran

Head 84.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rosa L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Beltran L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 80 / 227 35.2% 41.4% 353 / 1264 27.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 52 / 63 82.5% 70.9% 187 / 252 74.2% 70.6%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 72.3% 43 / 56 76.8% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 81 / 233 34.8% 38.9% 399 / 1335 29.9% 38.9%
To the body 42 / 47 89.4% 71.9% 105 / 145 72.4% 76.8%
To the legs 9 / 10 too few to rate 81.8% 79 / 92 85.9% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rosa L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Beltran L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 84 / 206 40.8% 40.4% 521 / 1136 45.9% 40.7%
In the clinch 30 / 38 78.9% 68.7% 102 / 145 70.3% 70.6%
On the ground 15 / 16 too few to rate 70.4% 37 / 51 72.5% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 92 / 216 42.6% 37.5% 467 / 1099 42.5% 38.8%
To the body 16 / 19 too few to rate 72.3% 99 / 129 76.7% 75.1%
To the legs 21 / 25 84.0% 83.0% 94 / 104 90.4% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
518.5% acc · 0.59/15 · norm 0.95
1285.7% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2672.2% def · norm 64.3%
1:013.6% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
34:4627.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
13:166:57 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
18:002:07 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Beltran has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.