BOUTSCOUT
Dana White's Contender Series · Season 10 · 2026

Who's next?

Every Tuesday, hopefuls get one fight to change their lives. We charted all 460 Contender Series bouts and every one of the 321 contracts ever handed out — so the model knows exactly what a UFC-ready prospect looks like.

See this week's picks
This week's card

5 fights. One night.
Careers on the line.

Week 1 · August 11, 2026

Tap any bout to open the model's full analysis — the why, the records it graded, and what the confidence tier means.

Heavyweight
VS
Model pick · Anthony Wint PASS
52%
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Lightweight
VS
Model pick · Abe Alsaghir WATCH
57%
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Flyweight
VS
Model pick · Bilal Hasan WATCH
60%
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Featherweight
VS
Tom Pagliarulo
Model pick · Ananias Mulumba WATCH
56%
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Middleweight
VS
Model pick · Jonathan Kunneman WATCH
60%
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Best bets board

Where the model is loudest.

The strongest calls on upcoming Contender Series bouts, ranked by the model's own confidence. Tap a pick to see the analysis behind it.

Model picks — odds feed pending
Ilias Bulaid
vs. Erick Visconde · Featherweight · Week 8 · Sep 29
69%
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Sean Clancy Jr.
vs. Gary Balletto Jr. · Welterweight · Week 3 · Aug 25
69%
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Adam Darby
vs. Patrick Rivera · Welterweight · Week 4 · Sep 1
67%
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Cristian Pérez
vs. Logan Paxton · Lightweight · Week 2 · Aug 18
66%
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Adam Livingston
vs. Hunter Smith · Lightweight · Week 4 · Sep 1
61%
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Modestino Rodrigues
vs. Brandon Holmes · Middleweight · Week 4 · Sep 1
61%
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The research

What ten seasons taught us.

The Contender Series is the UFC's tier-1 feeder — the clearest audition tape in the sport. Here's what the full history says.

10 seasons charted
460 fights in the book
321 contracts awarded
307 alumni reached the UFC roster
Win by finish → signed 86%
Win by decision → signed 54%
Finishes that end in round 1 56%
computed live from the Bout Scout Contender Series database · finish your fight and the contract usually follows
The funnel

From a Tuesday in Vegas
to the big roster.

Season 10 week by week — then every season's class, and how many walked out with a deal.

Week 2
Aug 18
5 bouts
Week 3
Aug 25
5 bouts
Week 4
Sep 1
4 bouts
Week 5
Sep 8
3 bouts
Week 6
Sep 15
4 bouts
Week 7
Sep 22
4 bouts
Week 8
Sep 29
4 bouts
Week 9
Oct 6
1 bouts
S1 · 2017
17 / 40 · 42%
S2 · 2018
24 / 40 · 60%
S3 · 2019
31 / 49 · 63%
S4 · 2020
37 / 48 · 77%
S5 · 2021
39 / 50 · 78%
S6 · 2022
39 / 49 · 80%
S7 · 2023
46 / 49 · 94%
S8 · 2024
42 / 49 · 86%
S9 · 2025
46 / 51 · 90%
S10 · 2026
35 bouts booked
contracts awarded / completed fights, per season — the bar is the sign rate
How this page works

No mystery. Just method.

The data

Every Contender Series season, bout, and contract award is ingested from the Wikipedia API into the Bout Scout database and refreshed with the weekly agent. The Contender Series is a tier-1 promotion in our opponent-quality system — wins here translate.

The picks

Picks and confidence meters are pure model output from the Bout Scout engine — no odds are shown anywhere on this page until the odds feed for Contender Series cards goes live. A pick labeled STRONG cleared the model's own confidence bar; everything else stays off the board.

The scoreboard

Every published pick is frozen when it's posted and graded in public after the card. When the model is wrong, the record says so.

For entertainment only
Bout Scout model output is analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. No wagering is offered or endorsed here. If you bet, bet legally, responsibly, and never more than you can afford to lose.
Photos via Wikimedia Commons: The White House (Public domain) · Presidencia de la República del Ecuador (Public domain) · Noah Riffe (Public domain) · MMAnytt (CC BY 3.0) · Sexto Round (CC BY 3.0)